The US dollar has strengthened as the presidential election approaches, with rising odds favoring Republican candidate Donald Trump, which is seen as positive for the currency. Analysts expect a potential USD rebound by year-end, despite a modest decline in forecasts. Market confidence in a 25bp rate cut from the ECB has led to muted expectations for surprises, leaving EUR/USD vulnerable to US developments.
The U.S. dollar has strengthened ahead of the presidential election, driven by improved polling for Republican candidate Donald Trump, which is expected to favor the dollar due to potential aggressive tariff policies. Analysts predict a short-term boost for the dollar, although year-end forecasts suggest a slight decline from current levels. Meanwhile, the market anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut from the ECB, with the EUR/USD pair particularly sensitive to U.S. developments.
The U.S. election significantly impacts global financial markets, with Trump favoring traditional sectors like oil and defense, while Harris promotes renewable energy and healthcare. Trump's expansionary fiscal policies could strengthen the dollar, whereas Harris's moderate approach may stabilize currency markets. Investors must adapt their strategies based on the election outcome, as each candidate presents distinct opportunities and risks.
The outcome of the US elections will significantly impact financial markets, with a Trump victory likely boosting traditional sectors like oil and defense, while a Harris win would favor renewables and healthcare. Trump's expansionary fiscal policies could strengthen the dollar, whereas Harris's moderate approach may stabilize currency markets. Investors must adapt their strategies to align with the distinct opportunities and risks presented by each candidate's policies.
NVIDIA and ASML shares have plummeted amid concerns over limited sales of AI chips, particularly to certain countries, raising alarms in the US chip industry. Market focus shifts to the upcoming ECB interest rate decision, with expectations of a 25 basis point cut, while the US will wait until after the presidential election for its next rate signal. ASML's disappointing outlook has further exacerbated market woes, pushing its stock towards critical support levels.
Former President Trump proposed tariffs of up to 2,000% on cars from Mexico, seen more as rhetoric than serious policy. A suggested universal 20% tariff on imports could disrupt the market, potentially raising consumer prices while risking a competitive disadvantage for US manufacturers. Meanwhile, Israel has assured the US it won't target Iranian oil facilities, easing oil price concerns.
Goldman Sachs analyst Chris Hallam has raised his price target for UBS shares from CHF 37.10 to CHF 38.70, maintaining a "buy" rating due to higher expectations for assets under management and anticipated progress in reducing operating expenses. Zürcher Kantonalbank (ZKB) acknowledges potential risks during UBS's integration of Credit Suisse but continues to rate UBS shares as "overweight." UBS is set to release its third-quarter figures on October 30.
As the election approaches, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump diverge on pharmaceutical policies. Harris aims to expand Medicare's drug price negotiations and has garnered significant industry support, while Trump has shifted to align with industry lobbyists, distancing himself from previous commitments to lower drug prices and eliminate rebates. The pharmaceutical sector faces critical stakes in the upcoming election, with contrasting visions from the two candidates.
U.S. pre-market trading saw Etsy drop over 4% after a Goldman Sachs downgrade, while Coty fell more than 2% following disappointing preliminary results. In contrast, Doximity gained over 3% after an upgrade from Barclays. In corporate news, Ericsson surged over 8% on strong Q3 earnings, while Asian markets were mixed, with China's Shanghai Composite down 2.53% amid economic concerns, and Japan's Nikkei 225 up 0.77% on a weaker yen and positive Wall Street momentum.
Coinbase shares are experiencing high demand, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts from the ECB and Fed, alongside supportive measures from China for its economy. As investors eye the upcoming U.S. presidential election, Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris in polls, with the critical $200 mark for Coinbase shares in focus.
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